Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.477801 1.735528 2.004567 2.304735 2.628724 2.966454 3.343711
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.042908 1.390046 1.776213 2.230577 2.744077 3.300714 3.944258
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.800455 1.181375 1.626335 2.170012 2.803552 3.507467 4.338321
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.626761 1.026244 1.515692 2.134746 2.875609 3.715940 4.724608
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.524780 0.942510 1.475640 2.169018 3.016127 3.991954 5.177724
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.432667 0.857717 1.423425 2.179445 3.121160 4.221429 5.573201
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.341795 0.760210 1.343781 2.146394 3.166075 4.374285 5.874651
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.314188 0.752144 1.380828 2.260199 3.390052 4.739353 6.424840
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.291383 0.747855 1.420725 2.376143 3.615816 5.106301 6.977525
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.275062 0.751481 1.470217 2.503845 3.856026 5.490853 7.551736
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.265496 0.764860 1.532834 2.648724 4.118085 5.902416 8.159025
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.238546 0.743863 1.543030 2.721316 4.287025 6.199925 8.629838
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.194365 0.688031 1.503057 2.730894 4.384020 6.421233 9.025210
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.139850 0.599791 1.406953 2.658578 4.372756 6.508590 9.260091
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.096924 0.521396 1.317419 2.588446 4.358535 6.587418 9.480116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.067676 0.463146 1.253992 2.550599 4.382878 6.711020 9.751516
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052851 0.437409 1.243069 2.588082 4.507354 6.960544 10.177413
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.038097 0.404521 1.216287 2.599739 4.595390 7.162919 10.544713
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022868 0.358115 1.159942 2.563172 4.615009 7.276155 10.800322
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.021328 0.367157 1.208390 2.688837 4.859675 7.679807 11.418650
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020022 0.376785 1.258002 2.816573 5.107668 8.088371 12.043949
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019537 0.390355 1.315480 2.956982 5.373846 8.521111 12.700332
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.020118 0.409654 1.384496 3.115933 5.666470 8.988761 13.401242